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Poll shows Obama, Romney virtually even amid economic concerns

By Associated Press

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WASHINGTON >> Fewer Americans believe the economy is getting better and a majority disapproves of how President Barack Obama is handling it, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll.

Republican challenger Mitt Romney has exploited those concerns and moved into a virtually even position with the president.

Three months of declining job creation have left the public increasingly glum, with only 3 out of 10 adults saying the country is headed in the right direction. Five months before the election, the economy remains Obama’s top liability.

Obama has lost the narrow lead he held just a month ago among registered voters. In the new poll, 47 percent say they will vote for the president and 44 percent for Romney, a difference that is not statistically significant. The poll, released today, also shows that Romney has recovered well from a bruising Republican primary, with more of his supporters saying they are certain to vote for him now.

Still, in a measure of Romney’s own vulnerabilities, even some voters who say they support Romney believe the president will still be re-elected. Of all adults polled, 56 percent believe Obama will win a second term.

With his Republican nomination now ensured, Romney has succeeded in unifying the party behind him and in maintaining a singular focus on making the election a referendum on Obama’s handling of the economy. The poll is not good news for the president, and it reflects fluctuations in the economy, which has shown both strength and weakness since it began to recover from the recent recession. The new survey illustrates how an ideologically divided country and a stumbling recovery have driven the two men into a tight match.

About half — 49 percent — approve of how Obama is handling his job as president, dropping him below the 50 percent mark he was above in May. Disapproval of Obama is highest — 55 percent — for his handling of the economy. Still, registered voters are split virtually evenly on whether Romney or Obama would do a better job improving it.

The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted June 14-18 by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cellphone interviews with 1,007 adults nationwide, including 878 registered voters. Results from the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points; it is 4.2 points for registered voters.






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Highinthesierras wrote:
Get ready Hawaii - the gravy train will not be stopping here next year.
on June 21,2012 | 05:50AM
Changalang wrote:
Obama is in absolutely no danger of losing his job. POLSC math modeling demonstrates the extreme un-probability of Mitt Romney securing enough Electoral College votes to hit 270, the magic number. That means with toss ups growing to 150, Romney needs to rake them at a 2:1 ratio. With the population concentration bases on the West and East Coast; it will be nearly impossible looking at things at this juncture in time. With Obamacare being struck down on the 25th, it will re-motivate the left base for major turnout and they will love Obama again. The Republicans are over extending on Fast and Furious like they did with Monica Lewinsky, and they may be jeopardizing their lock on both Houses of Congress by making misdirected energy to things people don't care about more than the economy. 17% approval rating is not good for any Congressional incumbent. Hawaii's favorite son will keep his job. Why he wants it; God only knows. Being a President looks like it really sux for everybody that has ever held the job. Just look at the unnatural aging evident in all of them. Clinton showed it more on the inside with his cardiac surgery.
on June 21,2012 | 06:34AM
soundofreason wrote:
Correction. Stick a for in 'em - He's DONE and it will be by a landslide. MARK my words. Really........MARK them.
on June 21,2012 | 06:52AM
Changalang wrote:
A devout Republican hanging his points of argument on Hope and Change as the only supporting statement proves that there is a God with a sense of humor. Therefore, I laugh with the Grand Architect of the Universe. LOL.
on June 21,2012 | 07:11AM
Pacej001 wrote:
Or a liberal hanging his prediction on political science, math and modeling, three words that don't belong in the same sentence, text book,or credible scientific paper. In fact, the term "political science" is fairly hilarious. What isn't hilarious are polls of likely voters. So far, the race is a toss up, but Romney definitely has a chance to win. Given the hilarious (like that word) fecklessnes/desperation of the Obama campaign so far, Romney's chances are getting better by the day.
on June 21,2012 | 08:13AM
Changalang wrote:
I am sure real Republican professionals who live by POLSC, math, and modeling like Karl Rove would a hire a genius like you for campaign grunt work in an instant. LOL. The Hawaii GOP is a foundation of miserable loss and their members are forever wrong and out of touch with the reality that transcends their narrow view of the world. They are hypnotized by old timer sell out polyal opposition s that are only good at gerrymandering their constituency into areas like Hawaii Kai. Therefore, your expert opinion predicting the demise of Obama is the best news any Democrat could bank on. Thank you for your input. :)
on June 21,2012 | 09:06AM
Pacej001 wrote:
You need help, badly.
on June 21,2012 | 06:08PM
Changalang wrote:
I got all the help I need. The Hawaii GOP needs heavyweight supporters, badly. However, failure attracts miserable failure; hence, your stunning retort and expressed peers of choice. Pfffffffffffffffffft.
on June 21,2012 | 08:02PM
Pacej001 wrote:
Chang, 15 years of developing, managing, and implementing computer models and simulations. Your pipe dreams of early prediction are just that. So, as we used to say in the simulation business, bite me. lt all comes down to the data and guess what, the data isn't in yet. Time will tell, but no one really knows what's going to happen until the polls of likely voters come in a month or two before he election. Rather than Rove, I think I'll go with Dick Morris who's predicting something of a wave for Romney. Still too far out, but I like Romney's chances.
on June 21,2012 | 08:34PM
Changalang wrote:
Bite yourself; maybe you will wake up and see the world the way it is. Dick Morris's track record on being right since he went GOP speaks for itself. LOL.
on June 22,2012 | 06:49AM
Macadamiamac wrote:
Who should we choose? A victim of a thinly disguised racist baiting campaign with anonymous multimillionaire supporters or a mendacious ditherer who apparently lacks character or personality? Which has the integrity to be leader of the former free world?
on June 21,2012 | 07:34AM
Pacej001 wrote:
So confused. Both sides have anonymous multimillionaire contributors. Who's the ditherer? Mr. O is the least decisive leader in memory. What's the question about integrity? Romney's appears sterling.
on June 21,2012 | 08:15AM
HD36 wrote:
They're virtually the same. I won't vote for either. 2013 will see the economy collapse and civil unrest. No matter who gets elected, they can't stop it; nobody wants to take a chainsaw to government spending.
on June 21,2012 | 07:51AM
2Lolo wrote:
I disagree, these two are poles apart in terms of character. Mitt probably never did smoke or drink or eat dogs and cats. I'd trust Mitt with my wealth and the future of my children. His character personnally and professionally IS sterling. Obama and his minions are shady and their open defiance of the US constitution is frightening! John King from CNN stated something that proved quite accurate in the Minnesota recall election. Polls can be deceiving. Those conservatives are the types who don't like polls. They tend to keep their opinions to themselves and vote with a sledgehammer.
on June 21,2012 | 09:00AM
Changalang wrote:
Mitt Romney is a great guy and an awesome business man who has proven to be able to use his skills to adapt and govern in liberal MA successfully. However, his character on foreign policy is untested. Obama's life experiences give him a broad base from worst to best. Obama knows how to win a street fight. Romney may defer CiC duties to Generals with personal agendas, like Bush did. The Boardroom leadership paradigm does not bode well when dark things need to occur and the trigger needs the CiC to leave a finger print on a quick pull. Obama has pursued the terrorists Chicago style. He simply greenlights any high threat level individual and lets SOCOM find a way. No need for gitmo. He just kills them all and lets Allah sort it out. I don't know if Mitt can deal with hardball when it comes to getting blood on the floor. He may; we just don't know.
on June 21,2012 | 05:04PM
Bothrops wrote:
Pacej001 wrote: "Chang, 15 years of developing, managing, and implementing computer models and simulations. Your pipe dreams of early prediction are just that. So, as we used to say in the simulation business, bite me. lt all comes down to the data and guess what, the data isn't in yet. Time will tell, but no one really knows what's going to happen until the polls of likely voters come in a month or two before he election. Rather than Rove, I think I'll go with Dick Morris who's predicting something of a wave for Romney. Still too far out, but I like Romney's chances." Obviously Pace's models didn't do squat. He said there were WMD. Pace thought we'd have no problem with Iraq. Well "Bite me"
on November 5,2012 | 10:12PM
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