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Fed cites moderate U.S. growth, takes no new action

By Martin Crutsinger

AP Economics Writer

LAST UPDATED: 09:52 a.m. HST, Oct 24, 2012

WASHINGTON » Two weeks before a U.S. election focused on the economy, the Federal Reserve said today that its help is still needed to increase growth and lower unemployment.

The Fed took no action after a two-day policy meeting. It wants time to assess whether the aggressive steps it launched in September will help the economy.

In a statement, the central bank said the U.S. economy is improving moderately. But it said job growth has been slow and the unemployment rate remains elevated.

It noted that consumer spending has strengthened slightly and that housing has shown further signs of improvement. Growth in business investment has slowed, though.

The Fed said inflation has recently risen slightly because of higher energy prices. But it said inflation over the long run should remain mild.

The Fed's statement was largely expected, and it didn't move stock or bond prices. The statement was approved on an 11-1 vote. Jeffrey Lacker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, objected for the seventh consecutive meeting. Lacker has been concerned that the Fed's policy steps could lead to higher inflation.

Last month, the Fed began buying mortgage bonds to try to push long-term interest rates lower and make home buying more affordable. It also said it planned to keep its benchmark short-term rate near zero through mid-2015.

The unemployment rate fell in September to 7.8 percent, the first time it's been below 8 percent since January 2009. But the economy is still growing too slowly to accelerate job growth.

The economy grew at a meager 1.3 percent annual rate in the April-June quarter. Economists think it grew slightly faster in the July-September quarter. The government will report its first estimate of third-quarter growth on Friday.

Still, many employers remain wary of hiring, in part because of tax increases and spending cuts set to kick in next year and also because of a slowing global economy.

The bond purchases the Fed launched last month are designed to lower interest rates and cause stock and home prices to rise, creating a "wealth effect." When consumers feel wealthier, they're typically more willing to spend, thereby boosting the economy.

Fed officials reiterated today that they intend to hold rates low even after the economic recovery has strengthened. That's a signal that the Fed will keep intervening until the economy grows fast enough to reduce unemployment sharply.

Critics note that interest rates have already been at or near all-time lows. They worry that the Fed's injection of steadily more money into the financial system will eventually ignite inflation or create dangerous bubbles in the prices of stocks or other assets.

Since the Fed unveiled its latest plans last month, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has touched 3.36 percent — the lowest since mortgage buyer Freddie Mac began keeping records in 1971. Cheap loans have helped lift home sales, prices and construction — key pillars of the housing market's gradual but steady comeback.

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false wrote:
Moderate? It stinks and has for the last four years. Did you check out MoneyRates.com, the group who said Hawaii is the best place to retire? When you do you will see Hawaii is also 50th - dead last - as a place to make a living.
on October 24,2012 | 09:24AM
droid wrote:
Obviously you didn't get the memo: this article is a press release for the Obama re-election campaign.
on October 24,2012 | 10:41AM
Papakolea wrote:
The fed continues to push bond yields lower, which drives investors to put their money into stocks, even though the underlying fundamentals do not support the share prices. The fed is creating a stock market bubble that, when it bursts, will throw our country back into a recession.
on October 24,2012 | 12:05PM
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