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Report: Mega-quake off Pacific Northwest would kill thousands

By Lauren Gambino

Associated Press

LAST UPDATED: 05:59 a.m. HST, Mar 15, 2013

SALEM, Ore. >> More than 10,000 people could die when — not if — a monster earthquake and tsunami occur just off the Pacific Northwest coast, researchers told Oregon legislators today.

Coastal towns would be inundated. Schools, buildings and bridges would collapse, and economic damage could hit $32 billion.

These findings were published in a chilling new report by the Oregon Seismic Safety Policy Advisory Commission, a group of more than 150 volunteer experts. 

In 2011, the Legislature authorized the study of what would happen if a quake and tsunami such as the one that devastated Japan hit the Pacific Northwest.

The Cascadia Subduction Zone, just off the regional coastline, produced a mega-quake in the year 1700. Seismic experts say another monster quake and tsunami are overdue.

"This earthquake will hit us again," Kent Yu, an engineer and chairman of the commission, told lawmakers. "It's just a matter of how soon." 

When it hits, the report says, there will be devastation and death from Northern California to British Columbia.

Many Oregon communities will be left without water, power, heat and telephone service. Gasoline supplies will be disrupted.

The 2011 Japan quake and tsunami were a wakeup call for the Pacific Northwest. Governments have been taking a closer look at whether the region is prepared for something similar and discovering it is not.

Oregon legislators requested the study so they could better inform themselves about what needs to be done to prepare and recover from such a giant natural disaster.

The report says that geologically, Oregon and Japan are mirror images. Despite the devastation in Japan, that country was more prepared than Oregon because it had spent billions on technology to reduce the damage, the report says.

Jay Wilson, the commission's vice chairman, visited Japan and said he was profoundly affected as he walked through villages ravaged by the tsunami.

"It was just as if these communities were ghost towns, and for the most part there was nothing left," said Wilson, who works for the Clackamas County emergency management department.

Wilson told legislators that there was a similar event 313 years ago in the Pacific Northwest, and "we're well within the window for it to happen again."

Experts representing a variety of state agencies, industries and organizations expanded on the report's findings and shared with lawmakers how they have begun planning.

Sue Graves, a safety coordinator for the Lincoln County School District, told lawmakers that high school students in her district take semester-long classes that teach CPR and other survival techniques in the wake of a giant earthquake. The class teaches students to "duck, cover and hold" when the ground starts shaking.

Maree Wacker, chief executive officer of the American Red Cross of Oregon, said it is important for residents to have their own contingency plans for natural disasters.

"Oregonians as individuals are underprepared," she said.

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Hapa_Haole_Boy wrote:
The million dollar question for Hawaii-- what about the effects from such a megaquake on our rock in the middle of the Pacific? This is a question well worth looking into, instead of things like Steven Tyler bills and gay marriage.
on March 14,2013 | 03:39PM
RichardCory wrote:
Sadly, researching earthquakes doesn't sell stories to the plebs and fill corporate coffers. No one will care until it's too late.
on March 14,2013 | 04:00PM
noheawilli wrote:
So if I'm offshore paddling and I hear the sirens...do I just turn offshore and keep paddling?
on March 14,2013 | 03:59PM
dlum003 wrote:
When, not if .... it will be massive
on March 14,2013 | 04:12PM
cojef wrote:
Really scary stuff they are pumping out. Are there any Hawaiian oral history on the quake of 313 years ago and its impact. Or better still, are there any geological evidence on Hawaiian shorelines of the devasting quake of 313 years ago that shook the Northwest USA? Sure would help dtermine whether Waikiki will be washed out to sea.
on March 14,2013 | 04:45PM
A_Reader wrote:
Now one would have to ask, "What is in the real interest of Lauren Gambino and associates, Oregon Seismic Safety Policy Advisory Commission" for crying "The sky is falling, the sky is fallllling......There is an imminent storm on the horizon" ...?!?!?!?? I suspect there is a desperate need to fund the coiffures for more research and another news story to sell. Just my humble opinion.
on March 14,2013 | 04:40PM
Who_Said wrote:
Reverse "Pineapple Express"...
on March 14,2013 | 04:51PM
false wrote:
It's just nature's way of relieving fault lines in the sea. Hopefully, the underseas around Hawaii aren't stressed to that point. Why worry needlessly? Just be prepared.
on March 14,2013 | 04:51PM
Mallory wrote:
OHHHH NOOO I'm so SCARED. Ok, media did their job scaring me ... NEXT story...
on March 14,2013 | 04:51PM
HD36 wrote:
Old News.
on March 14,2013 | 06:53PM
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