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TS Flossie will weaken, but could still bring heavy rain

By Craig Gima

LAST UPDATED: 05:56 p.m. HST, Jul 29, 2013

Tropical Storm Flossie will be a shadow of its current self when it passes near Hawaii Tuesday, but it could still pack a punch.... or not.

The storm is expected to weaken starting Saturday, just before it moves into the Central Pacific.

Flossie is not expected to become a hurricane, although forecasters say it could get a little stronger while over warm water.

"All of the global models, and the official forecast, now show Flossie dissipating west of the Hawaiian islands by (Wednesday) due to strong southwesterly shear," according to National Hurricane Center forecasters.

At about 5 a.m. today, the storm was about 1,710 miles east of Honolulu with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph extending about 70 miles from the center.

It was moving west at about 18 mph and is expected to track to the west northwest and pass south of Hawaii Monday night through Wednesday.

The current forecast for Honolulu calls for a 60 to 70 percent chance of locally heavy rain starting Monday night through Tuesday night when the storm is expected to pass south of Oahu.

However, forecasters caution that it is still too early to accurately predict the impact of the storm on specific islands.

“There could be rain, there could be wind. But how much is the question,” said Melvin Hui, a forecaster with the Honolulu office of the National Weather Service.

Hui said there’s still a chance that the storm will pass further south of the islands and not bring very much rain. There’s also a chance it could bring thunderstorms, depending on its intensity and how close it comes to the islands.

The storm could also bring surf to east shores.

Honolulu meteorologist Ian Morrison storm highlights the need for people to be prepared and have emergency kits stocked.

“It’s a very good reminder that we are in the middle of hurricane season,” Morrison said. “The more prepared Hawaii is, then the better off everyone is going to be when it (a storm) does happen.”

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allie wrote:
If it just brings rain, that would be welcomed. Summers are so dry here
on July 25,2013 | 11:12AM
TLehel wrote:
This summer has proven just the opposite. Out of my entire life here this has been the wettest summer. I've never had so many beach days and hikes cancelled on the weekend.
on July 25,2013 | 12:33PM
allie wrote:
not at all..checks the stats. We need the rain.
on July 25,2013 | 12:39PM
TLehel wrote:
Please tell me where these stats are so I can laugh at them. The only reason we need more rain is because our winter and spring brought less rain than normal. This is my observation, and I'm pretty sure it's more reliable than your "stats".
on July 25,2013 | 02:57PM
editors wrote:
Allie is correct, T. We do need the rain, and it has been a dry summer (your personal experience notwithstanding ... Hawaii's a land of microclimates, and while it might be pouring in Hilo, Kona is in its third straight drought year. And even those Hilo rains aren't as frequent or as long as they were at the beginning of the 2000s). Stats are here, at the very cool Rainfall Atlas of Hawaii http://rainfall.geography.hawaii.edu
on July 26,2013 | 10:45AM
palani wrote:
Told you not to worry. "Extreme" not so scary.
on July 25,2013 | 12:40PM
allie wrote:
Let us pray the projections are correct. We could use the rain but not the flooding. Looks like Big Island my be a bull's eye for this storm. Scary stuff.
on July 26,2013 | 08:33AM
localguy wrote:
Let's see how much rain we receive and how much our dysfunctional infrastructure can handle it. Look for a bunch of HECO poles to fail, drains to clog, water to block roads and flood houses. Nope, we are not prepared for a major Hurricane to hit the islands which one will in the future. Once again our dysfunctional bureaucrats fail us, their standard.
on July 25,2013 | 03:55PM
allie wrote:
A breeze over 2 MPH can send HECO into chaos. It is a rip-off, unreliable, poorly run, overpriced company
on July 26,2013 | 08:33AM
manakuke wrote:
Hopefully a fully degraded storm is the result. Predictions are the typhoon will slow dowm, speed up, then slow down before hitting. Otherwise it is 'snake eyes for the islands.
on July 26,2013 | 10:13AM
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