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Friday, December 19, 2014         

NEW YORK TIMES


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A high-speed salesman in a cleric's robes

By Somini Sengupta

New York Times

POSTED:



UNITED NATIONS » Descending on New York this week in a Shiite cleric's traditional fine wool robes, Iran's president, Hasan Rouhani, turned himself into a high-speed salesman offering a flurry of speeches, tweets, televised interviews and carefully curated private meetings.

On Tuesday, he capped his speech to the U.N. General Assembly with a nod to the Torah and the Psalms, which elicited applause and then, the slightest hint of a smile. That day he also hosted a clutch of media executives as his chief of staff did what previously would have been unthinkable, meeting with a dozen influential U.S. business leaders.

Over salmon kebabs in his hotel Wednesday evening, he told a gathering of former U.S. diplomats and Iran scholars that he would never give up his country's right to enrich uranium but would swiftly resolve its nuclear standoff with the West. The next day, he took aim at Israel's nuclear arsenal in a public speech in the morning and at night wooed his country's influential, often skeptical diaspora with a banquet for 800.

But amid the fervent diplomatic theater, intended to end Iran's isolation, it was at times difficult to tell whether Rouhani was a genuinely transformative Iranian leader, as his cabinet insisted, or a more polished avatar of the past, as his critics claimed.

In television interviews and public addresses throughout the week, he repeatedly sought to cast himself as a moderate ready to do business with the West. But it was also clear that whatever he said here was closely, instantly dissected at home, raising uncertainty over whether he could truly deliver a compromise with the West, if that is what he sought.

So he condemned the Nazis in a TV interview but quickly hedged by saying that he was not a historian. And even as he called for "time-bound" talks to resolve the nuclear standoff, he skipped a lunch at which he might have had the chance to meet President Barack Obama and shake his hand. Even charmed diplomats pointed out that he offered no concrete proposals, while also noting that he had received nothing concrete from Western officials to take back to his constituents at home.

Those who watched him closest this week describe Rouhani as serious, controlled and single-mindedly focused on message. He seemed intent to convey that he was prepared to take concrete steps to normalize relations with the West, that he was reasonable and that he enjoyed the backing of the street and his country's religious establishment. He also seemed to be in somewhat of a rush, even while saying that events might have been moving too fast.

"He did not come to New York to negotiate with speeches or throw in the towel and surrender. He came to New York to start negotiations," said Vali Nasr, dean of Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies. "He is very clever, very pragmatic, but he's also now showing himself to be bold, a risk-taker. He is taking the biggest risk any Iranian has in reaching out to the West."

The contrast with his predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, could not be more stark. Ahmadinejad used his podium at the General Assembly to blast Israel, deny the Holocaust and dangle the notion that Sept. 11 was the handiwork of Americans. Rouhani, in his public speeches, has mentioned Israel only once, calling on it to sign the Nonproliferation Treaty.

All the same, he has insisted on Iran's right to build what he insists is a civilian nuclear program. At a dinner for about 20 former diplomats and Iran scholars Tuesday at the One U.N. New York, a hotel across the street from the U.N. building, one dinner guest recalled that Rouhani was asked: What is Iran doing, and why is it doing it?

"His answer was very simple," said the dinner guest, who could not be named because it was a confidential meeting. "We are enriching. We are doing it because it is our right."

The only time the usually unflappable Rouhani was mildly exercised, the first dinner guest said, was when he spoke of Israel's complaints about Iran's nuclear program. Rouhani, he recalled, pointed out that Israel itself had nuclear weapons.

The next morning, speaking at a meeting on disarmament, Rouhani called on Israel to give up its nuclear weapons.

Remarks like that prompted some critics to say that Rouhani was simply a camouflaged version of Ahmadinejad, pressing the same aims.

"Rouhani came here today to cheat the world, and unfortunately many people were willing to be cheated," Israel's minister of intelligence and internal affairs, Yuval Steinitz, said at a news conference Tuesday at the United Nations.

"The main thing for me is that the substance is very similar to Ahmadinejad's, but he says it in a much kinder and gentler way," said Gary Samore, a former Obama adviser, and now the president of United Against Nuclear Iran. "That's the definition of a charm offensive."

To foreigners, Rouhani may seem like something of a paradox. He wears the garb of a cleric, though with high-end dress shoes. He prefers to be called Dr. Rouhani, for his doctorate in law, rather than by his clerical title. His office has used Twitter to congratulate Iran's women's volleyball team and blast excerpts from his address at the General Assembly.

"He's far from being a traditional Shia cleric," said M. Hossein Hafezian, who worked with him for nearly 10 years at his Center for Strategic Research in Tehran.

He described Rouhani as a political "insider" and a moderate, but one who has shunned being called "westernized or liberal, because that would be a curse."

One diplomat here described him as so composed while meeting one of his Western counterparts that he seemed hard to grasp. The diplomat, who asked not to be identified because of the delicacy of the bilateral meeting, said he was struck by the fact that Rouhani "didn't have advisers whispering in his ears the whole time."

Rouhani's interest in lowering tensions with the West is most directly helped by his closest aides. He has surrounded himself with men, who, like other Iranian bureaucrats, favor trim beards and suits without ties, but who speak the language of the U.S. elite. Several, like his foreign minister, Javad Zarif, were educated here.

Perhaps the most unexpected - and closely guarded - encounter this week was attended by Rouhani's chief of staff, Mohammad Nahavandian. He attended an breakfast meeting Tuesday, organized at his request, with about a dozen New York business titans, most of them retired, from the banking and energy sectors. His message, according to the breakfast organizer, was that Iran is now pro-business and welcomes private investment, if and when sanctions are lifted.

"This was the beginning of exploring if something like that could happen," the organizer said, asking to remain anonymous because of the sensitivity of the gathering.

Still, there are skeptics in Iran and the United States.

"He has to demonstrate this is more than a charm offensive, that he means what he says, that if there's a response he's ready to be engaged," said William H. Luers, a retired U.S. ambassador who runs an advocacy group called The Iran Project.

The same applies to Obama, he said.

"It's too far along," Luers said. "We've said too much on both sides. There's too much distrust to just say we had a good conversation."






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