Honolulu Star-Advertiser

Wednesday, April 24, 2024 74° Today's Paper


News

Carbon dioxide keeps piling up in atmosphere, readings from Mauna Loa show

ASSOCIATED PRESS / JAN. 16
                                A Uniper energy company coal-fired power plant and a BP refinery beside a wind generator in Gelsenkirchen, Germany. The world hit another record high for heat-trapping carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, despite reduced emissions because of the coronavirus pandemic, scientists announced today.
1/1
Swipe or click to see more

ASSOCIATED PRESS / JAN. 16

A Uniper energy company coal-fired power plant and a BP refinery beside a wind generator in Gelsenkirchen, Germany. The world hit another record high for heat-trapping carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, despite reduced emissions because of the coronavirus pandemic, scientists announced today.

Levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere reached their annual peak last month, and once again were the highest in human history.

Despite the economic collapse resulting from the coronavirus pandemic, which has led to sharp declines in carbon dioxide emissions, the amount of the greenhouse gas has continued to climb. The May monthly average was 417.2 parts per million, according to scientists at Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego.

Separately, researchers with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported a slightly lower May average of 417.1 ppm.

The readings are about half of 1% higher than the previous high, in May 2019. The year-to-year increase of about 2.5 ppm is in line with the average annual increase during the past decade. Half a century ago, the average annual increase was just 0.8 ppm.

Emissions have fallen sharply this year as first China and then many other countries shuttered factories and other businesses, and locked down cities amid the pandemic. One recent estimate suggested that, overall for 2020, emissions from human activity could drop nearly 8%, which would be the largest year-to-year decline ever recorded.

But even a drop of that magnitude is overshadowed by natural variability in carbon emissions from vegetation and soil in response to seasonal changes temperature and soil moisture, Scripps scientists said in a news release announcing the readings. They estimated that human-caused emissions would have to drop by 20% to 30% for at least six months to result in a slowing of the rate of increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

“People may be surprised to hear that the response to the coronavirus outbreak hasn’t done more to influence CO2 levels,” said Ralph Keeling, a geochemist who runs the Scripps Oceanography CO2 program.

The project, begun by his father, Charles D. Keeling, has been taking readings since 1958 at a NOAA observatory on Mauna Loa on Hawaii island.

“But the buildup of CO2 is a bit like trash in a landfill,” he said. “As we keep emitting, it keeps piling up. The crisis has slowed emissions, but not enough to show up perceptibly at Mauna Loa.”

“What will matter much more is the trajectory we take coming out of this situation,” Keeling added.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere currently varies by about 10 parts per million during the year. It reaches a peak each May, before the widespread growth of vegetation in the Northern Hemisphere, which has about two-thirds of the Earth’s land mass, removes some of the gas through photosynthesis.

The May average first topped 400 ppm in 2014. The latest full-year average, for 2018, was 407.4 ppm, about 45% higher than the pre-industrial average of 280 ppm.

The world has not experienced such carbon dioxide levels in several million years, the Scripps scientists said. By analyzing ice cores and ocean sediments, researchers have determined that temperatures millions of years ago were 2 to 3 degrees Celsius (about 3.5 to 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than in the modern pre-industrial era, and that sea levels were at least 50 feet higher.

By participating in online discussions you acknowledge that you have agreed to the Terms of Service. An insightful discussion of ideas and viewpoints is encouraged, but comments must be civil and in good taste, with no personal attacks. If your comments are inappropriate, you may be banned from posting. Report comments if you believe they do not follow our guidelines. Having trouble with comments? Learn more here.