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Hurricane Olivia maintains strength as it heads toward isles

CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

Hurricane Olivia’s five-day forecast as of 11 p.m. Saturday.

UPDATE: 11 p.m.

Hurricane Olivia is moving rapidly westward far east of Hawaii near 16 mph.

It’s expected to approach the isles Monday into Tuesday, turning toward the west-southwest, before becoming a tropical storm.

“Impacts associated with Olivia for each island will be highly dependent on the final track it takes near or over the islands,” forecasters said.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph with higher gusts, and little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days.

Olivia is forecast to remain a hurricane through Monday night. Although gradual weakening is possible on Tuesday, Olivia will likely remain a threat to the isles next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles.

As former Hurricane Norman tracks northward and away from the state, light and variable winds will likely hold into Sunday.

Cloudy and rainy conditions are also forecast for leeward locations Sunday afternoon.

5:15 p.m.

Hurricane Olivia continues its trek west as a Category 1 storm as it crossed over into the Central Pacific today. Olivia is expected to be near the main Hawaiian Islands later Tuesday, if it continues on its forecasted track.

At 5 p.m., the storm had maximum sustained winds near 80 mph and was moving west at 16 mph, about 935 miles east of Hilo and 1,100 miles west of Honolulu, according to the National Weather Service. Hurricane-force winds extend out 30 miles from Olivia’s center while tropical storm-force winds extend up to 115 miles.

Olivia is expected to continue west with some slowing in forward speed through Monday. A turn toward the west-southwest is expected by Tuesday.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time.

11:15 a.m.

Hurricane Olivia maintained its Category 1 strength this morning as it nears the Central Pacific on a track that will have it threatening the islands as a tropical storm by midweek.

At 11 a.m., the storm had maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was moving west at 15 mph, about 1,025 miles east of Hilo and 1,190 miles east of Honolulu, according to the National Weather Service in Miami. Hurricane-force winds extend out 30 miles from Olivia’s center while tropical storm-force winds extend up to 115 miles

Olivia is expected to enter the Central Pacific in the next few hours and some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours, forecasters said.

Olivia is forecast to be approaching Hawaii as a tropical storm on Tuesday.

In the latest five-day forecast, the entire state is now under the “cone of uncertainty” for Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Norman, meanwhile, continues to weaken and move north, safely away from the islands.

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Hurricane Olivia further weakened overnight but made its predicted westerly turn toward the Central Pacific on a path that could take it directly over the Hawaiian islands by midweek.

At 5 a.m. today, the storm had maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was about 1,110 miles east of Hilo and 1,280 miles east of Honolulu, moving west at 15 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, which monitors the Eastern Pacific. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 30 miles from the center and tropical storm-force winds extend out 115 miles.

The storm is expected to enter the Central Pacific tonight or Sunday morning as a hurricane. “Interests in Hawaii should monitor the progress of Olivia this weekend and use this time to enact your hurricane action plan,” forecasters warned.

Olivia is expected to be a tropical storm by Tuesday when it makes a turn to the west-southwest toward the islands, they said.

The hurricane center said it is too soon to determine the exact location and magnitude of any impacts for Hawaii. The center’s five-day “cone of uncertainty” track covers all islands but Kauai County by about Wednesday when Olivia is predicted to have 50 mph sustained winds and higher gusts.

Still, forecasters stressed, “Do not focus on the exact track or intensity forecast, or any specific landfall location, as errors can be large at extended time ranges. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions could be felt anywhere in the islands as significant impacts could extend well away from the center.”

North of the islands, Tropical Storm Norman, with 60 mph winds, continued to move safely away from the islands today.

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